Everton vs Brentford Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 11 Mar, 15:00
Everton
10 Full time
Brentford
Everton 1–0 Brentford

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 26%
Away 45%

💡 Brentford have a slight edge — leaning Brentford, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1396 v 1553 Brentford rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Everton v Brentford

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Brentford is the stronger side on Power Rating (1553 vs 1396).
  • Brentford is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brentford
Form Index
Brentford
Goal expectation
Brentford
Home advantage
Everton

Green = favours Everton · Blue = favours Brentford. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EvertonLWLLD0.8 ppg
BrentfordDWDDW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Everton1396
Brentford1553
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 31% · 40%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning12% · 10% · 79%

AI match preview

Everton host Brentford in a Premier League clash where the visitors hold a 45% chance of victory, slightly edging the home side’s 30% probability, while a draw is projected at 26%. The model anticipates a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.05 for Everton and 1.28 for Brentford, with 1-1 being the most likely scoreline. With a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% probability of both teams scoring, this encounter promises competitive action—remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.28

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Hill Dickinson Stadium Liverpool, England Capacity 52,888 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Everton 1–0 Brentford
Aug 2022 Brentford 1–1 Everton