Leicester vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 11 Mar, 15:00
Leicester
13 Full time
Chelsea
Leicester 1–3 Chelsea

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 28%
Away 38%

💡 Chelsea have a slight edge — leaning Chelsea, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1487 Chelsea rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leicester v Chelsea

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1465 vs 1487).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Chelsea
Form Index
Leicester
Goal expectation
Leicester
Home advantage
Leicester

Green = favours Leicester · Blue = favours Chelsea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeicesterWWLLL1.2 ppg
ChelseaDDLLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Leicester1465
Chelsea1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 34% · 27%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning48% · 35% · 17%

AI match preview

Leicester hosts Chelsea in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 38%, though confidence remains moderate at 39/100. Expected goals suggest a tight game (1.12 for Leicester, 0.87 for Chelsea) with the most likely score intriguingly predicted as 0-0, reflecting a potential defensive battle. With only a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this matchup could hinge on narrow margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.12 – 0.87

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

King Power Stadium Leicester, England Capacity 32,261 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Leicester 1–3 Chelsea
Aug 2022 Chelsea 2–1 Leicester