West Ham vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 12 Mar, 14:00
West Ham
11 Full time
Aston Villa
West Ham 1–1 Aston Villa

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 26%
Away 33%

💡 West Ham have a slight edge — leaning West Ham, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1488 Aston Villa rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Aston Villa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1488 vs 1435).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Aston Villa
Form Index
Aston Villa
Goal expectation
West Ham
Home advantage
West Ham

Green = favours West Ham · Blue = favours Aston Villa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
West HamDDLWL1.0 ppg
Aston VillaLLLWW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
West Ham1435
Aston Villa1488
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 31% · 24%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning35% · 12% · 53%

AI match preview

West Ham host Aston Villa in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 40%, though a draw and away victory remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.38 for West Ham and 0.93 for Villa, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With under 50% probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match could hinge on fine margins; remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 0.93

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

London Stadium London, England Capacity 62,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 West Ham 1–1 Aston Villa
Aug 2022 Aston Villa 0–1 West Ham