Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Fri 17 Mar, 20:00
Nott'm Forest
12 Full time
Newcastle
Nott'm Forest 1–2 Newcastle

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 27%
Away 53%

💡 Newcastle are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1422 v 1575 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nott'm Forest v Newcastle

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Why we predict this

  • Newcastle is the stronger side on Power Rating (1575 vs 1422).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Newcastle
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
Nott'm Forest

Green = favours Nott'm Forest · Blue = favours Newcastle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Nott'm ForestLDLDL0.4 ppg
NewcastleDDLLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Nott'm Forest1422
Newcastle1575
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 32% · 48%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning14% · 36% · 50%

AI match preview

Newcastle enter their Premier League clash at Nott'm Forest as slight favorites, with a 53% probability of an away win according to the model. The expected goals suggest a tight game, projecting a 0-1 scoreline as the most likely outcome, while a draw carries a 27% chance and home victory just 20%. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, this match could be a low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.78 – 1.33

Most likely score

0-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

The City Ground Nottingham, England Capacity 30,404 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Nott'm Forest 1–2 Newcastle
Aug 2022 Newcastle 2–0 Nott'm Forest