Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 18 Mar, 15:00
Aston Villa
30 Full time
Bournemouth
Aston Villa 3–0 Bournemouth

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (59%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 59%
Draw 21%
Away 20%

💡 Aston Villa are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1488 v 1417 Aston Villa rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Aston Villa v Bournemouth

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Aston Villa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1488 vs 1417).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Aston Villa
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Aston Villa
Home advantage
Aston Villa

Green = favours Aston Villa · Blue = favours Bournemouth. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Aston VillaLLWWD1.4 ppg
BournemouthDWLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Aston Villa1488
Bournemouth1417
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 20% · 16%
Power Rating59% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning63% · 18% · 19%

AI match preview

Aston Villa are favored to claim victory against Bournemouth with a 59% probability, supported by an expected goal tally of 2.44 to 1.20. The model suggests a competitive encounter, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 and a 70% chance of more than 2.5 goals being scored overall. Both teams finding the net is also probable at 65%, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.44 – 1.20

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Villa Park Birmingham, England Capacity 42,657 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Aston Villa 3–0 Bournemouth
Aug 2022 Bournemouth 2–0 Aston Villa