Southampton vs Tottenham Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 18 Mar, 15:00
Southampton
33 Full time
Tottenham
Southampton 3–3 Tottenham

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (56%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 22%
Away 56%

💡 Tottenham are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1392 v 1544 Tottenham rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Southampton v Tottenham

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Why we predict this

  • Tottenham is the stronger side on Power Rating (1544 vs 1392).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Tottenham
Form Index
Tottenham
Goal expectation
Tottenham
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Tottenham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonWLWDL1.4 ppg
TottenhamLWWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1392
Tottenham1544
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 24% · 60%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning18% · 11% · 71%

AI match preview

Southampton host Tottenham in a Premier League clash where the model favors an away win at 56% probability, though a draw and home victory both stand at 22%, highlighting a competitive matchup. Tottenham are expected to score around two goals to Southampton’s one, with a 58% chance of the game producing over 2.5 goals and a 56% likelihood of both teams finding the net. These projections suggest an open contest possibly ending in a 1-1 draw, but remember these are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.00 – 2.01

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Southampton 3–3 Tottenham
Aug 2022 Tottenham 4–1 Southampton