Wolves vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 18 Mar, 15:00
Wolves
24 Full time
Leeds
Wolves 2–4 Leeds

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 26%
Away 30%

💡 Wolves have a slight edge — leaning Wolves, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1438 v 1424 Wolves rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1438 vs 1424).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wolves
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Wolves

Green = favours Wolves · Blue = favours Leeds. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WolvesLDLWL0.8 ppg
LeedsLLWLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Wolves1438
Leeds1424
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 34% · 34%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning58% · 13% · 29%

AI match preview

Wolves and Leeds are set for a closely contested Premier League clash, with the model giving Wolves a 44% chance to edge out a win, while a draw stands at 26% and Leeds at 30%. Both teams are expected to score about one goal each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the slight home advantage. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% probability of both teams scoring, this match could be tight and tactical; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.05

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Molineux Stadium Wolverhampton, England Capacity 31,750 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Wolves 2–4 Leeds
Aug 2022 Leeds 2–1 Wolves