Chelsea vs Everton Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 18 Mar, 17:30
Chelsea
22 Full time
Everton
Chelsea 2–2 Everton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 21%
Away 14%

💡 Chelsea are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1505 v 1410 Chelsea rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Chelsea v Everton

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Why we predict this

  • Chelsea is the stronger side on Power Rating (1505 vs 1410).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Chelsea
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Chelsea
Home advantage
Chelsea

Green = favours Chelsea · Blue = favours Everton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ChelseaDLLWW1.4 ppg
EvertonWLLDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Chelsea1505
Everton1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 32% · 12%
Power Rating63% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning76% · 12% · 13%

AI match preview

Chelsea are favored to secure a home victory against Everton with a 65% probability, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.31 to 0.47. The model suggests a tight contest, most likely finishing 1-0 in favor of the hosts, while a draw or an away win remain less probable outcomes. With low chances for over 2.5 goals (27%) and both teams scoring (29%), this match may lean towards a narrow, low-scoring affair; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 0.47

Most likely score

1-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 27%

Under 73%

Both teams to score

Yes 29%

No 71%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stamford Bridge London, England Capacity 40,173 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Chelsea 2–2 Everton
Aug 2022 Everton 0–1 Chelsea