Leeds vs Nott'm Forest Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Tue 4 Apr, 20:45
Leeds
21 Full time
Nott'm Forest
Leeds 2–1 Nott'm Forest

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 23%
Away 19%

💡 Leeds are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1438 v 1412 Leeds rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leeds v Nott'm Forest

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1438 vs 1412).
  • Leeds is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leeds
Form Index
Leeds
Goal expectation
Leeds
Home advantage
Leeds

Green = favours Leeds · Blue = favours Nott'm Forest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeedsWLDWL1.4 ppg
Nott'm ForestLDLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Leeds1438
Nott'm Forest1412
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 21% · 8%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning54% · 24% · 22%

AI match preview

Leeds hold a 58% chance of securing victory against Nottingham Forest, with the model projecting a 2-0 scoreline and an expected goals tally favoring the home side at 2.05 to 0.54. The likelihood of a draw stands at 23%, while an away win is less probable at 19%. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring being more likely outcomes, fans can anticipate a moderately open contest; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.05 – 0.54

Most likely score

2-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Elland Road Leeds, England Capacity 37,792 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Leeds 2–1 Nott'm Forest
Feb 2023 Nott'm Forest 1–0 Leeds