West Ham vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Wed 5 Apr, 21:00
West Ham
15 Full time
Newcastle
West Ham 1–5 Newcastle

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 27%
Away 48%

💡 Newcastle are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1442 v 1596 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on West Ham v Newcastle

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Newcastle is the stronger side on Power Rating (1596 vs 1442).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Newcastle
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
West Ham

Green = favours West Ham · Blue = favours Newcastle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
West HamLWLDW1.4 ppg
NewcastleLLWWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
West Ham1442
Newcastle1596
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 33% · 45%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning17% · 18% · 65%

AI match preview

West Ham host Newcastle in a Premier League clash where the visitors are slightly favored with a 48% chance of winning, while a draw holds a 27% probability. The model projects a low-scoring encounter with expected goals at 0.77 for West Ham and 1.21 for Newcastle, and intriguingly, the most likely scoreline is 0-0 despite Newcastle’s edge. With only a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams scoring, this match looks tight and cautious—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.77 – 1.21

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

London Stadium London, England Capacity 62,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 West Ham 1–5 Newcastle
Feb 2023 Newcastle 1–1 West Ham