Leeds vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 9 Apr, 15:00
Leeds
15 Full time
Crystal Palace
Leeds 1–5 Crystal Palace

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 26%
Away 25%

💡 Leeds are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1446 v 1440 Leeds rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leeds v Crystal Palace

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1446 vs 1440).
  • Leeds is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Leeds
Goal expectation
Leeds
Home advantage
Leeds

Green = favours Leeds · Blue = favours Crystal Palace. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeedsLDWLW1.4 ppg
Crystal PalaceLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Leeds1446
Crystal Palace1440
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 31% · 24%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning60% · 23% · 17%

AI match preview

Leeds hold a slight edge with a 49% chance of victory against Crystal Palace, though the model also suggests a draw is quite possible at 26%. Expected goals favor Leeds at 1.34 compared to Palace's 0.91, yet the most likely scoreline is a tight 1-1 draw. With only a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance both teams score, this match could be a balanced and cautious affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Elland Road Leeds, England Capacity 37,792 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Leeds 1–5 Crystal Palace
Oct 2022 Crystal Palace 2–1 Leeds