Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 9 Apr, 17:30
Liverpool
22 Full time
Arsenal
Liverpool 2–2 Arsenal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 24%
Away 46%

💡 Arsenal are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1541 v 1683 Arsenal rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 3.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Liverpool v Arsenal

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Why we predict this

  • Arsenal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1683 vs 1541).
  • Arsenal is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arsenal
Form Index
Arsenal
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Liverpool

Green = favours Liverpool · Blue = favours Arsenal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LiverpoolWWLLD1.4 ppg
ArsenalWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Liverpool1541
Arsenal1683
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 31% · 35%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 49%
Machine-learning12% · 11% · 77%

AI match preview

Liverpool host Arsenal in a Premier League clash where the model gives the visitors a 46% chance to win, slightly edging out a 31% probability for a home victory. Despite the away win pick, the expected goals are balanced at 1.24 each, with the most likely scoreline predicted as a 1-1 draw. Fans can also anticipate a moderate likelihood of both teams scoring (52%) and under 2.5 goals (55%). Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Anfield Liverpool, England Capacity 61,276 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Liverpool 2–2 Arsenal
Oct 2022 Arsenal 3–2 Liverpool