Everton vs Fulham Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 15 Apr, 16:00
Everton
13 Full time
Fulham
Everton 1–3 Fulham

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 26%
Away 35%

💡 Everton have a slight edge — leaning Everton, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1409 v 1482 Fulham rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fulham is the stronger side on Power Rating (1482 vs 1409).
  • Everton is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fulham
Form Index
Everton
Goal expectation
Fulham
Home advantage
Everton

Green = favours Everton · Blue = favours Fulham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EvertonDWDDL1.2 ppg
FulhamDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Everton1409
Fulham1482
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 33% · 43%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning41% · 12% · 47%

AI match preview

Everton and Fulham are set for a closely contested Premier League clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Everton at 38% compared to Fulham's 35%, while a draw sits at 26%. Expected goals suggest a tight game with Fulham marginally favored to score more (1.24 vs. 0.87), making a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, this match may hinge on fine margins; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.87 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Hill Dickinson Stadium Liverpool, England Capacity 52,888 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Everton 1–3 Fulham
Oct 2022 Fulham 0–0 Everton