Southampton vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 15 Apr, 16:00
Southampton
02 Full time
Crystal Palace
Southampton 0–2 Crystal Palace

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 28%
Away 40%

💡 Crystal Palace have a slight edge — leaning Crystal Palace, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1379 v 1465 Crystal Palace rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Southampton v Crystal Palace

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Why we predict this

  • Crystal Palace is the stronger side on Power Rating (1465 vs 1379).
  • Crystal Palace is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Crystal Palace
Form Index
Crystal Palace
Goal expectation
Crystal Palace
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Crystal Palace. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonDLDLL0.4 ppg
Crystal PalaceLLLWW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1379
Crystal Palace1465
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 29% · 49%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning37% · 20% · 44%

AI match preview

Southampton host Crystal Palace in a Premier League clash where the visitors hold a slight edge with a 40% chance of winning, according to the model. The expected goals suggest a closely contested match, with a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline and a moderate likelihood of both teams scoring at 51%. While Crystal Palace are favored, the game could swing either way, so fans should consider these statistical insights carefully and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 1.55

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Southampton 0–2 Crystal Palace
Oct 2022 Crystal Palace 1–0 Southampton