West Ham vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 16 Apr, 15:00
West Ham
22 Full time
Arsenal
West Ham 2–2 Arsenal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (66%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 16%
Draw 18%
Away 66%

💡 Arsenal are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 80.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1442 v 1680 Arsenal rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 2.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on West Ham v Arsenal

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Why we predict this

  • Arsenal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1680 vs 1442).
  • Arsenal is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arsenal
Form Index
Arsenal
Goal expectation
Arsenal
Home advantage
West Ham

Green = favours West Ham · Blue = favours Arsenal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
West HamLDWLW1.4 ppg
ArsenalWWWWD2.6 ppg
Power Rating
West Ham1442
Arsenal1680
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model12% · 23% · 66%
Power Rating24% · 12% · 64%
Machine-learning5% · 5% · 90%

AI match preview

West Ham face a tough challenge at home against Arsenal, with the model giving the visitors a 66% chance of victory and an expected goals tally of 2.00 compared to West Ham's 0.73. The most likely scoreline is a 2-0 win for Arsenal, reflecting their stronger attacking potential in this matchup. While the probability of over 2.5 goals is just above 50%, and both teams to score sits at 46%, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.73 – 2.00

Most likely score

0-2

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

London Stadium London, England Capacity 62,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 West Ham 2–2 Arsenal
Dec 2022 Arsenal 3–1 West Ham