Leeds vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Mon 17 Apr, 21:00
Leeds
16 Full time
Liverpool
Leeds 1–6 Liverpool

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 25%
Away 50%

💡 Liverpool are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1422 v 1544 Liverpool rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leeds v Liverpool

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Why we predict this

  • Liverpool is the stronger side on Power Rating (1544 vs 1422).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Liverpool
Form Index
Leeds
Goal expectation
Leeds
Home advantage
Leeds

Green = favours Leeds · Blue = favours Liverpool. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeedsDWLWL1.4 ppg
LiverpoolWLLDD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Leeds1422
Liverpool1544
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 29% · 32%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning20% · 30% · 50%

AI match preview

Leeds host Liverpool in a Premier League clash where the model gives the visitors a 50% chance of victory, slightly ahead of a home win (26%) or draw (25%). Despite Liverpool's edge in the 1X2 market, expected goals are close at 1.44 for Leeds and 1.27 for Liverpool, suggesting a tight contest with 1-1 as the most likely scoreline. The match also leans slightly towards over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (57%), but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Elland Road Leeds, England Capacity 37,792 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Leeds 1–6 Liverpool
Oct 2022 Liverpool 1–2 Leeds