Newcastle vs Tottenham Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 23 Apr, 15:00
Newcastle
61 Full time
Tottenham
Newcastle 6–1 Tottenham

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 21%
Away 23%

💡 Newcastle are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1602 v 1532 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index 2.4 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Newcastle v Tottenham

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Why we predict this

  • Newcastle is the stronger side on Power Rating (1602 vs 1532).
  • Newcastle is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Newcastle
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
Newcastle

Green = favours Newcastle · Blue = favours Tottenham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NewcastleWWWWL2.4 ppg
TottenhamWDDWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Newcastle1602
Tottenham1532
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 27% · 19%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning69% · 10% · 21%

AI match preview

Newcastle enter this Premier League clash with a slight edge, holding a 55% probability of securing a home win against Tottenham, who stand at 23%. The model projects an average of 1.71 goals for Newcastle and 0.94 for Tottenham, with a 1-1 draw being the most likely scoreline despite the home advantage. With just under half the chances for over 2.5 goals and a 51% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match promises to be competitive; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.71 – 0.94

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St James' Park Newcastle, England Capacity 52,305 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Newcastle 6–1 Tottenham
Oct 2022 Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle