Aston Villa vs Fulham Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Tue 25 Apr, 20:45
Aston Villa
10 Full time
Fulham
Aston Villa 1–0 Fulham

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 22%
Away 22%

💡 Aston Villa are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1559 v 1504 Aston Villa rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Aston Villa v Fulham

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Why we predict this

  • Aston Villa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1559 vs 1504).
  • Aston Villa is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Aston Villa
Form Index
Aston Villa
Goal expectation
Aston Villa
Home advantage
Aston Villa

Green = favours Aston Villa · Blue = favours Fulham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Aston VillaWWWWD2.6 ppg
FulhamLLLWW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Aston Villa1559
Fulham1504
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 28% · 33%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning73% · 14% · 13%

AI match preview

Aston Villa hold a slight edge with a 56% chance of victory against Fulham, though a draw or away win both stand at 22%, indicating a closely contested Premier League clash. The model projects a tight match with expected goals of 1.49 for Villa and 1.36 for Fulham, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the home win pick. With over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 59%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Villa Park Birmingham, England Capacity 42,657 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Aston Villa 1–0 Fulham
Oct 2022 Fulham 3–0 Aston Villa