Leeds vs Leicester Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Tue 25 Apr, 21:00
Leeds
11 Full time
Leicester
Leeds 1–1 Leicester

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 24%
Away 34%

💡 Leeds have a slight edge — leaning Leeds, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1397 v 1423 Leicester rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1397 vs 1423).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leicester
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Leicester
Home advantage
Leeds

Green = favours Leeds · Blue = favours Leicester. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeedsLWLLL0.6 ppg
LeicesterLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Leeds1397
Leicester1423
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 22% · 45%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning54% · 19% · 27%

AI match preview

Leeds host Leicester in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 42%, though a draw and away victory remain viable outcomes. With expected goals totaling around 4, and a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match promises plenty of attacking action, while both teams scoring is also highly probable at 75%. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, but these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.85 – 2.15

Most likely score

1-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 76%

Under 24%

Both teams to score

Yes 75%

No 25%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Elland Road Leeds, England Capacity 37,792 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Leeds 1–1 Leicester
Oct 2022 Leicester 2–0 Leeds