Nott'm Forest vs Brighton Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Wed 26 Apr, 20:30
Nott'm Forest
31 Full time
Brighton
Nott'm Forest 3–1 Brighton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (61%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 19%
Draw 20%
Away 61%

💡 Brighton are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1380 v 1565 Brighton rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nott'm Forest v Brighton

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Why we predict this

  • Brighton is the stronger side on Power Rating (1565 vs 1380).
  • Brighton is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brighton
Form Index
Brighton
Goal expectation
Brighton
Home advantage
Nott'm Forest

Green = favours Nott'm Forest · Blue = favours Brighton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Nott'm ForestDLLLL0.2 ppg
BrightonWDWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Nott'm Forest1380
Brighton1565
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 25% · 52%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 56%
Machine-learning8% · 14% · 78%

AI match preview

Nottingham Forest face a tough challenge at home against Brighton, with the model giving the visitors a 61% chance of victory and a confidence rating of 72/100. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with Brighton slightly ahead at 1.88 versus Forest's 1.21, and a most likely scoreline of 1-1 indicating a closely contested game. There's also a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance both teams will score, making this an intriguing fixture to watch. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.88

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

The City Ground Nottingham, England Capacity 30,404 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Nott'm Forest 3–1 Brighton
Oct 2022 Brighton 0–0 Nott'm Forest