Chelsea vs Brentford Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Wed 26 Apr, 20:45
Chelsea
02 Full time
Brentford
Chelsea 0–2 Brentford

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 25%
Away 29%

💡 Chelsea are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1459 v 1511 Brentford rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 0.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Chelsea v Brentford

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Why we predict this

  • Brentford is the stronger side on Power Rating (1511 vs 1459).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brentford
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Chelsea
Home advantage
Chelsea

Green = favours Chelsea · Blue = favours Brentford. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ChelseaDLDLL0.4 ppg
BrentfordDLLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Chelsea1459
Brentford1511
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 33% · 26%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning35% · 12% · 53%

AI match preview

Chelsea host Brentford in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 46%, though a draw or Brentford victory remain plausible with probabilities of 25% and 29% respectively. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Chelsea edging 1.17 to 0.88, and the most likely scoreline predicted as 1-1. With only a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% probability of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on fine margins; remember these projections are statistical and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.17 – 0.88

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stamford Bridge London, England Capacity 40,173 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Chelsea 0–2 Brentford
Oct 2022 Brentford 0–0 Chelsea