Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 30 Apr, 15:00
Bournemouth
41 Full time
Leeds
Bournemouth 4–1 Leeds

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 24%
Away 31%

💡 Bournemouth have a slight edge — leaning Bournemouth, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1422 v 1396 Bournemouth rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bournemouth v Leeds

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1422 vs 1396).
  • Bournemouth is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bournemouth
Form Index
Bournemouth
Goal expectation
Leeds
Home advantage
Bournemouth

Green = favours Bournemouth · Blue = favours Leeds. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BournemouthLWWLW1.8 ppg
LeedsWLLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Bournemouth1422
Leeds1396
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 29% · 38%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning67% · 14% · 19%

AI match preview

Bournemouth host Leeds in a closely matched Premier League clash, with the model giving the home side a 45% chance to win and a 31% probability for an away victory. Both teams are projected to score, as indicated by a 55% likelihood of goals at both ends and an expected goals tally near parity (1.25 for Bournemouth, 1.38 for Leeds). While a 1-1 draw is the most probable scoreline, fans should note that these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.38

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Vitality Stadium Bournemouth, England Capacity 11,307 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Bournemouth 4–1 Leeds
Nov 2022 Leeds 4–3 Bournemouth