Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 6 May, 16:00
Bournemouth
13 Full time
Chelsea
Bournemouth 1–3 Chelsea

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (36%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 28%
Away 36%

💡 Chelsea have a slight edge — leaning Chelsea, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1437 v 1437 Evenly matched
Form Index 2.4 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bournemouth v Chelsea

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1437 vs 1437).
  • Bournemouth is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Bournemouth
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Bournemouth

Green = favours Bournemouth · Blue = favours Chelsea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BournemouthWWLWW2.4 ppg
ChelseaDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Bournemouth1437
Chelsea1437
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 34% · 34%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning55% · 33% · 12%

AI match preview

Bournemouth and Chelsea are evenly matched in this Premier League encounter, with the model assigning both sides a 36% chance to win and a 28% probability of a draw. The expected goals are nearly identical at just over one each, pointing to a tight contest likely decided by fine margins, with 1-1 as the most probable scoreline. While the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is relatively low at 35%, there is a 44% chance both teams will find the net. Remember, these projections are based on statistical models and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Vitality Stadium Bournemouth, England Capacity 11,307 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Bournemouth 1–3 Chelsea
Dec 2022 Chelsea 2–0 Bournemouth