Wolves vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 6 May, 16:00
Wolves
10 Full time
Aston Villa
Wolves 1–0 Aston Villa

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 26%
Away 44%

💡 Aston Villa have a slight edge — leaning Aston Villa, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1440 v 1558 Aston Villa rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Aston Villa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1558 vs 1440).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Aston Villa
Form Index
Aston Villa
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Wolves

Green = favours Wolves · Blue = favours Aston Villa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WolvesWWLWL1.8 ppg
Aston VillaWWDWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Wolves1440
Aston Villa1558
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 35% · 33%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning22% · 15% · 63%

AI match preview

Wolves host Aston Villa in a Premier League clash where the model favors an away win at 44%, though the confidence level is moderate at 47/100. Both teams are expected to produce tight defenses, with a most likely scoreline of 0-0 and an expected goals tally just under one for each side. Given the low probabilities for goals and goals from both teams, this match could be a cautious affair, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.94 – 0.97

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Molineux Stadium Wolverhampton, England Capacity 31,750 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Wolves 1–0 Aston Villa
Jan 2023 Aston Villa 1–1 Wolves