Nott'm Forest vs Southampton Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Mon 8 May, 21:00
Nott'm Forest
43 Full time
Southampton
Nott'm Forest 4–3 Southampton

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 25%
Away 24%

💡 Nott'm Forest are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1396 v 1356 Nott'm Forest rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nott'm Forest v Southampton

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1396 vs 1356).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nott'm Forest
Form Index
Nott'm Forest
Goal expectation
Nott'm Forest
Home advantage
Nott'm Forest

Green = favours Nott'm Forest · Blue = favours Southampton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Nott'm ForestLLLWL0.6 ppg
SouthamptonLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Nott'm Forest1396
Southampton1356
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 31% · 21%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning60% · 21% · 19%

AI match preview

Nottingham Forest hold a slight edge with a 51% chance to claim victory against Southampton, who are rated at 24%, while a draw sits at 25%. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.40 for Forest and 0.85 for Southampton, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1, highlighting a competitive clash. With only a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% probability of both teams scoring, this match could lean towards a tight contest; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.85

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

The City Ground Nottingham, England Capacity 30,404 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Nott'm Forest 4–3 Southampton
Jan 2023 Southampton 0–1 Nott'm Forest