Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 13 May, 13:30
Leeds
22 Full time
Newcastle
Leeds 2–2 Newcastle

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (63%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 19%
Away 63%

💡 Newcastle are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 75.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1379 v 1613 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Newcastle is the stronger side on Power Rating (1613 vs 1379).
  • Newcastle is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Newcastle
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
Leeds

Green = favours Leeds · Blue = favours Newcastle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeedsLLDLL0.2 ppg
NewcastleLWWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Leeds1379
Newcastle1613
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model12% · 20% · 69%
Power Rating24% · 12% · 64%
Machine-learning11% · 18% · 71%

AI match preview

Newcastle enter this Premier League clash against Leeds as clear favorites, with a 63% probability of an away win and a projected 2.33 goals scored compared to Leeds' 0.89 expected goals. A 0-2 scoreline is the most likely outcome, supported by a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance both teams will score. These projections highlight statistical trends, but remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.89 – 2.33

Most likely score

0-2

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Elland Road Leeds, England Capacity 37,792 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Leeds 2–2 Newcastle
Dec 2022 Newcastle 0–0 Leeds