Chelsea vs Nott'm Forest Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 13 May, 16:00
Chelsea
22 Full time
Nott'm Forest
Chelsea 2–2 Nott'm Forest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 20%
Away 19%

💡 Chelsea are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1404 Chelsea rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Chelsea v Nott'm Forest

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Why we predict this

  • Chelsea is the stronger side on Power Rating (1456 vs 1404).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Chelsea
Form Index
Nott'm Forest
Goal expectation
Chelsea
Home advantage
Chelsea

Green = favours Chelsea · Blue = favours Nott'm Forest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ChelseaLLLLW0.6 ppg
Nott'm ForestLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Chelsea1456
Nott'm Forest1404
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 28% · 10%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning61% · 11% · 29%

AI match preview

Chelsea enter this Premier League clash with a 61% probability of securing a home win against Nottingham Forest, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.54 to 0.47. The model suggests a tight encounter, with a 1-0 scoreline being the most likely outcome and a modest 33% chance of over 2.5 goals. While Chelsea are favored, the match could still offer surprises, so please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 0.47

Most likely score

1-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 31%

No 69%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stamford Bridge London, England Capacity 40,173 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Chelsea 2–2 Nott'm Forest
Jan 2023 Nott'm Forest 1–1 Chelsea