Nott'm Forest vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 20 May, 18:30
Nott'm Forest
10 Full time
Arsenal
Nott'm Forest 1–0 Arsenal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (64%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 19%
Away 64%

💡 Arsenal are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1408 v 1646 Arsenal rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nott'm Forest v Arsenal

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Why we predict this

  • Arsenal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1646 vs 1408).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arsenal
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Arsenal
Home advantage
Nott'm Forest

Green = favours Nott'm Forest · Blue = favours Arsenal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Nott'm ForestLWLWD1.4 ppg
ArsenalDLWWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Nott'm Forest1408
Arsenal1646
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 24% · 60%
Power Rating24% · 12% · 64%
Machine-learning7% · 9% · 85%

AI match preview

Nottingham Forest host Arsenal in a Premier League clash where the visitors hold a strong 64% chance of victory, according to the model, with a confidence rating of 77/100. Despite Arsenal's edge, the expected goals suggest a competitive match, with a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline and a 56% probability for over 2.5 goals. Both teams finding the net is also slightly favored at 54%, highlighting the potential for an open and engaging encounter. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.98

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

The City Ground Nottingham, England Capacity 30,404 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Nott'm Forest 1–0 Arsenal
Oct 2022 Arsenal 5–0 Nott'm Forest