Crystal Palace vs Nott'm Forest Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 28 May, 17:30
Crystal Palace
11 Full time
Nott'm Forest
Crystal Palace 1–1 Nott'm Forest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (59%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 59%
Draw 21%
Away 20%

💡 Crystal Palace are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1476 v 1424 Crystal Palace rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Crystal Palace v Nott'm Forest

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Crystal Palace is the stronger side on Power Rating (1476 vs 1424).
  • Nott'm Forest is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Crystal Palace
Form Index
Nott'm Forest
Goal expectation
Crystal Palace
Home advantage
Crystal Palace

Green = favours Crystal Palace · Blue = favours Nott'm Forest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Crystal PalaceLWLWD1.4 ppg
Nott'm ForestWLWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Crystal Palace1476
Nott'm Forest1424
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 27% · 13%
Power Rating55% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning60% · 14% · 26%

AI match preview

Crystal Palace enter this Premier League clash against Nottingham Forest with a 59% probability of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.66 to 0.65. The model suggests a tight encounter, with a 1-0 scoreline the most likely outcome and a relatively low chance (41%) of exceeding 2.5 goals. While BTTS stands at 40%, the data favors a narrow victory for the hosts; as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 0.65

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Selhurst Park London, England Capacity 25,486 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Crystal Palace 1–1 Nott'm Forest
Nov 2022 Nott'm Forest 1–0 Crystal Palace