Everton vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 28 May, 17:30
Everton
10 Full time
Bournemouth
Everton 1–0 Bournemouth

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 22%
Away 24%

💡 Everton are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1417 v 1398 Everton rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Everton v Bournemouth

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1417 vs 1398).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Everton
Form Index
Bournemouth
Goal expectation
Everton
Home advantage
Everton

Green = favours Everton · Blue = favours Bournemouth. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EvertonLDWLD1.0 ppg
BournemouthWWLLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Everton1417
Bournemouth1398
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 30% · 32%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning63% · 11% · 26%

AI match preview

Everton are slightly favored to claim victory against Bournemouth with a 55% chance, though the model suggests a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.30 to 1.19. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, highlighting the potential for both teams to find the net, as reflected by a 52% probability for BTTS. With just a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans should anticipate a tight encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Hill Dickinson Stadium Liverpool, England Capacity 52,888 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Everton 1–0 Bournemouth
Nov 2022 Bournemouth 3–0 Everton