Southampton vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 28 May, 17:30
Southampton
44 Full time
Liverpool
Southampton 4–4 Liverpool

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (69%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 15%
Draw 17%
Away 69%

💡 Liverpool are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 83.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 83.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1330 v 1606 Liverpool rated higher
Form Index 0.0 v 2.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Southampton v Liverpool

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Why we predict this

  • Liverpool is the stronger side on Power Rating (1606 vs 1330).
  • Liverpool is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Liverpool
Form Index
Liverpool
Goal expectation
Liverpool
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Liverpool. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonLLLLL0.0 ppg
LiverpoolWWWWD2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1330
Liverpool1606
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 24% · 62%
Power Rating20% · 12% · 68%
Machine-learning4% · 7% · 89%

AI match preview

Liverpool are favored to claim victory at Southampton with a 69% probability, reflecting their stronger expected goals tally of 1.97 compared to Southampton's 0.85. The model suggests a most likely 0-2 scoreline, indicating a controlled away win, while the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring hover around the mid-50% range. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.85 – 1.97

Most likely score

0-2

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Southampton 4–4 Liverpool
Nov 2022 Liverpool 3–1 Southampton