Brighton vs Burnley Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 3 Jan, 15:00
Brighton
20 Full time
Burnley
Brighton 2–0 Burnley

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 21%
Away 15%

💡 Brighton are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1503 v 1391 Brighton rated higher
Form Index DLDLD v LLDDL Brighton 0.6 · Burnley 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brighton v Burnley

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Why we predict this

  • Brighton is the stronger side on Power Rating (1503 vs 1391).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brighton
Form Index
Brighton
Goal expectation
Brighton
Home advantage
Brighton

Green = favours Brighton · Blue = favours Burnley. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrightonDLDLD0.6 ppg
BurnleyLLDDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Brighton1503
Burnley1391
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 19% · 16%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning59% · 31% · 10%

AI match preview

Brighton are favored to secure a home win against Burnley, with a 64% probability and a confidence rating of 76.2/100, reflecting their strong expected goals advantage of 2.65 to 1.31. The model suggests a competitive encounter likely ending 2-1, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% probability that both teams will score. These projections are based on statistical analysis—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.65 – 1.31

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 76%

Under 24%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Amex Stadium Brighton, England Capacity 31,800 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Burnley 0–2 Brighton
Jan 2026 Brighton 2–0 Burnley