Everton vs Brentford Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 4 Jan, 15:00
Everton
24 Full time
Brentford
Everton 2–4 Brentford

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 29%
Away 28%

💡 Everton have a slight edge — leaning Everton, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1507 v 1508 Brentford rated higher
Form Index WLLDW v LDWWD Everton 1.4 · Brentford 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Everton v Brentford

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1507 vs 1508).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Brentford
Goal expectation
Everton
Home advantage
Everton

Green = favours Everton · Blue = favours Brentford. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EvertonWLLDW1.4 ppg
BrentfordLDWWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Everton1507
Brentford1508
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 30% · 22%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning49% · 31% · 20%

AI match preview

Everton host Brentford in a Premier League clash where the model gives a slight edge to the home side with a 43% chance of victory, while a draw and Brentford win are close behind at 29% and 28% respectively. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Everton averaging 1.44 and Brentford 0.91, and the most likely scoreline predicted as 1-1. There's also a moderate probability for both teams to score (47%) and for the match to exceed 2.5 goals (42%). These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly for entertainment purposes only (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Hill Dickinson Stadium Liverpool, England Capacity 52,888 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Brentford 2–2 Everton
Jan 2026 Everton 2–4 Brentford