Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 4 Jan, 15:00
Newcastle
20 Full time
Crystal Palace
Newcastle 2–0 Crystal Palace

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 24%
Away 26%

💡 Newcastle are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1510 v 1495 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index WLDLW v WLLLD Newcastle 1.4 · Crystal Palace 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Newcastle v Crystal Palace

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1510 vs 1495).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Newcastle
Goal expectation
Crystal Palace
Home advantage
Newcastle

Green = favours Newcastle · Blue = favours Crystal Palace. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NewcastleWLDLW1.4 ppg
Crystal PalaceWLLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Newcastle1510
Crystal Palace1495
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 29% · 39%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning46% · 25% · 29%

AI match preview

Newcastle holds a slight edge with a 50% chance of victory against Crystal Palace, who are pegged at 26%, while a draw stands at 24%. Both teams are expected to score, with a 55% probability for BTTS, and the most likely scoreline projected as a 1-1 stalemate despite Newcastle's higher confidence rating of 56.1 out of 100. With expected goals hovering around 1.25-1.40 and a near-even split on over 2.5 goals at 49%, this Premier League clash promises a competitive encounter—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St James' Park Newcastle, England Capacity 52,305 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle
Jan 2026 Newcastle 2–0 Crystal Palace