Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Wed 7 Jan, 19:30
Crystal Palace
00 Full time
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace 0–0 Aston Villa

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 27%
Away 43%

💡 Aston Villa have a slight edge — leaning Aston Villa, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1482 v 1587 Aston Villa rated higher
Form Index LLLDL v WWWLW Crystal Palace 0.2 · Aston Villa 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Crystal Palace v Aston Villa

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Why we predict this

  • Aston Villa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1587 vs 1482).
  • Aston Villa is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Aston Villa
Form Index
Aston Villa
Goal expectation
Aston Villa
Home advantage
Crystal Palace

Green = favours Crystal Palace · Blue = favours Aston Villa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Crystal PalaceLLLDL0.2 ppg
Aston VillaWWWLW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Crystal Palace1482
Aston Villa1587
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 30% · 42%
Power Rating34% · 23% · 43%
Machine-learning26% · 22% · 53%

AI match preview

Crystal Palace host Aston Villa in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 43%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. Expected goals suggest a competitive match with 1.14 for Palace and 1.42 for Villa, leading to a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 53% chance both teams score and under 50% for over 2.5 goals, this game could be tight and balanced; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.42

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Selhurst Park London, England Capacity 25,486 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Crystal Palace 0–0 Aston Villa
Aug 2025 Aston Villa 0–3 Crystal Palace