Leeds vs Fulham Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 15:00
Leeds
10 Full time
Fulham
Leeds 1–0 Fulham

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 26%
Away 32%

💡 Leeds have a slight edge — leaning Leeds, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1472 v 1509 Fulham rated higher
Form Index WDDDL v WWDDW Leeds 1.2 · Fulham 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1472 vs 1509).
  • Fulham is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fulham
Form Index
Fulham
Goal expectation
Leeds
Home advantage
Leeds

Green = favours Leeds · Blue = favours Fulham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeedsWDDDL1.2 ppg
FulhamWWDDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Leeds1472
Fulham1509
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 26% · 23%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning39% · 21% · 40%

AI match preview

Leeds and Fulham face off in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors a Leeds win at 42%, though a draw or Fulham victory remain plausible outcomes. With expected goals of 1.85 for Leeds and 1.19 for Fulham, a closely contested match with potential for both teams to score is anticipated, aligning with the 60% chance for BTTS and a 59% likelihood of over 2.5 goals. While the most probable scoreline is 1-1, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Elland Road Leeds, England Capacity 37,792 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Leeds 1–0 Fulham
Sept 2025 Fulham 1–0 Leeds