Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 15:00
Liverpool
11 Full time
Burnley
Liverpool 1–1 Burnley

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 18%
Away 11%

💡 Liverpool are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 85.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 85.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1535 v 1384 Liverpool rated higher
Form Index WWDDD v DDLLD Liverpool 1.8 · Burnley 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Liverpool v Burnley

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Liverpool is the stronger side on Power Rating (1535 vs 1384).
  • Liverpool is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Liverpool
Form Index
Liverpool
Goal expectation
Liverpool
Home advantage
Liverpool

Green = favours Liverpool · Blue = favours Burnley. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LiverpoolWWDDD1.8 ppg
BurnleyDDLLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Liverpool1535
Burnley1384
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 21% · 15%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning63% · 31% · 6%

AI match preview

Liverpool are favored to claim victory against Burnley with a 71% probability, supported by a strong confidence rating of 85.8/100. The model projects an expected goals tally of 2.28 for Liverpool and 1.05 for Burnley, suggesting a competitive encounter likely to end 2-1. With a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.28 – 1.05

Most likely score

2-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Anfield Liverpool, England Capacity 61,276 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Liverpool 1–1 Burnley
Sept 2025 Burnley 0–1 Liverpool