Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 15:00
Sunderland
21 Full time
Crystal Palace
Sunderland 2–1 Crystal Palace

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 28%
Away 28%

💡 Sunderland have a slight edge — leaning Sunderland, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1506 v 1483 Sunderland rated higher
Form Index DDDDL v LLDLD Sunderland 0.8 · Crystal Palace 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sunderland v Crystal Palace

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1506 vs 1483).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sunderland
Form Index
Sunderland
Goal expectation
Sunderland
Home advantage
Sunderland

Green = favours Sunderland · Blue = favours Crystal Palace. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SunderlandDDDDL0.8 ppg
Crystal PalaceLLDLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Sunderland1506
Crystal Palace1483
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 33% · 25%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning51% · 29% · 20%

AI match preview

Sunderland hosts Crystal Palace in a Premier League clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 44% chance of victory, according to model projections. Both teams are expected to score, with a 43% probability of BTTS, and the most likely final score is a 1-1 draw despite Sunderland’s higher expected goals (1.22 vs. 0.89). With just a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match may lean towards a tighter contest; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.22 – 0.89

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadium of Light Sunderland, England Capacity 49,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Sunderland 2–1 Crystal Palace
Sept 2025 Crystal Palace 0–0 Sunderland