Nott'm Forest vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 17:30
Nott'm Forest
00 Full time
Arsenal
Nott'm Forest 0–0 Arsenal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (62%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 20%
Away 62%

💡 Arsenal are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1437 v 1637 Arsenal rated higher
Form Index LLLLW v WWWWD Nott'm Forest 0.6 · Arsenal 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nott'm Forest v Arsenal

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Arsenal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1637 vs 1437).
  • Arsenal is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arsenal
Form Index
Arsenal
Goal expectation
Arsenal
Home advantage
Nott'm Forest

Green = favours Nott'm Forest · Blue = favours Arsenal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Nott'm ForestLLLLW0.6 ppg
ArsenalWWWWD2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Nott'm Forest1437
Arsenal1637
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 26% · 58%
Power Rating27% · 15% · 58%
Machine-learning11% · 8% · 81%

AI match preview

Nottingham Forest face a tough challenge at home against Arsenal, with the model giving the visitors a 62% chance to take all three points, reflecting their stronger expected goals tally of 1.80 compared to Forest’s 0.85. Despite Arsenal’s advantage, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, highlighting the potential for a closely contested match. With under 50% probabilities for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this game could be tight and competitive—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.85 – 1.80

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

The City Ground Nottingham, England Capacity 30,404 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Nott'm Forest 0–0 Arsenal
Sept 2025 Arsenal 3–0 Nott'm Forest