Aston Villa vs Everton Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 18 Jan, 16:30
Aston Villa
01 Full time
Everton
Aston Villa 0–1 Everton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 24%
Away 18%

💡 Aston Villa are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1586 v 1482 Aston Villa rated higher
Form Index WWLWD v LDWLD Aston Villa 2.0 · Everton 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Aston Villa v Everton

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Why we predict this

  • Aston Villa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1586 vs 1482).
  • Aston Villa is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Aston Villa
Form Index
Aston Villa
Goal expectation
Aston Villa
Home advantage
Aston Villa

Green = favours Aston Villa · Blue = favours Everton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Aston VillaWWLWD2.0 ppg
EvertonLDWLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Aston Villa1586
Everton1482
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 33% · 20%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning58% · 28% · 14%

AI match preview

Aston Villa enters this Premier League clash with Everton as the clear statistical favorite, holding a 58% chance of victory and a projected 1.26 expected goals tally compared to Everton’s 0.72. The model suggests a tight contest, with a 1-0 home win as the most likely scoreline, while the probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring remain relatively low at 32% and 38%, respectively. These projections offer insight based on current data, but remember to approach betting responsibly and consider the inherent uncertainties of football outcomes (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 0.72

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Villa Park Birmingham, England Capacity 42,657 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Aston Villa 0–1 Everton
Sept 2025 Everton 0–0 Aston Villa