Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Mon 19 Jan, 20:00
Brighton
11 Full time
Bournemouth
Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 23%
Away 23%

💡 Brighton are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1516 v 1474 Brighton rated higher
Form Index DLDWD v DLDLW Brighton 1.2 · Bournemouth 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brighton v Bournemouth

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Why we predict this

  • Brighton is the stronger side on Power Rating (1516 vs 1474).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brighton
Form Index
Brighton
Goal expectation
Brighton
Home advantage
Brighton

Green = favours Brighton · Blue = favours Bournemouth. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrightonDLDWD1.2 ppg
BournemouthDLDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Brighton1516
Bournemouth1474
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 18% · 18%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning58% · 31% · 11%

AI match preview

Brighton are favored to edge Bournemouth with a 53% chance of a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.92 to 1.57, suggesting a competitive but slightly one-sided encounter. The model projects a 2-1 scoreline as the most probable outcome, with a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net (76%) and the match surpassing 2.5 goals (82%). These projections are statistical estimates and should be considered thoughtfully; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.92 – 1.57

Most likely score

2-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 82%

Under 18%

Both teams to score

Yes 76%

No 24%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Amex Stadium Brighton, England Capacity 31,800 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth
Sept 2025 Bournemouth 2–1 Brighton