Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 24 Jan, 17:30
Bournemouth
32 Full time
Liverpool
Bournemouth 3–2 Liverpool

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 24%
Away 46%

💡 Liverpool are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1477 v 1529 Liverpool rated higher
Form Index LDLWD v WDDDD Bournemouth 1.0 · Liverpool 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bournemouth v Liverpool

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Why we predict this

  • Liverpool is the stronger side on Power Rating (1529 vs 1477).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Liverpool
Form Index
Liverpool
Goal expectation
Bournemouth
Home advantage
Bournemouth

Green = favours Bournemouth · Blue = favours Liverpool. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BournemouthLDLWD1.0 ppg
LiverpoolWDDDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Bournemouth1477
Liverpool1529
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 28% · 31%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning36% · 17% · 47%

AI match preview

Bournemouth host Liverpool in a Premier League clash where the visitors hold a 46% chance of victory, though the model suggests a tight contest with a 31% probability for a home win and a 24% draw likelihood. Expected goals are fairly close at 1.53 for Bournemouth and 1.29 for Liverpool, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 indicating a competitive match. With over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 58%, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.29

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Vitality Stadium Bournemouth, England Capacity 11,307 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Bournemouth 3–2 Liverpool
Aug 2025 Liverpool 4–2 Bournemouth