Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 31 Jan, 15:00
Leeds
04 Full time
Arsenal
Leeds 0–4 Arsenal

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (55%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 23%
Away 55%

💡 Arsenal are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1617 Arsenal rated higher
Form Index DDLWD v WWDDL Leeds 1.2 · Arsenal 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leeds v Arsenal

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Why we predict this

  • Arsenal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1617 vs 1485).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arsenal
Form Index
Arsenal
Goal expectation
Arsenal
Home advantage
Leeds

Green = favours Leeds · Blue = favours Arsenal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeedsDDLWD1.2 ppg
ArsenalWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Leeds1485
Arsenal1617
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 32% · 39%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning25% · 12% · 63%

AI match preview

Leeds welcome Arsenal in a Premier League clash where the visitors hold a 55% chance of victory according to the model, though the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw. Both sides are expected to score with nearly even odds, but goals may be limited given the 40% probability of over 2.5 goals. These projections highlight Arsenal as slight favorites, yet the outcome remains open; please remember these are statistical insights and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.06 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Elland Road Leeds, England Capacity 37,792 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Leeds 0–4 Arsenal
Aug 2025 Arsenal 5–0 Leeds