Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 31 Jan, 20:00
Liverpool
41 Full time
Newcastle
Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 24%
Away 25%

💡 Liverpool are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1519 v 1509 Liverpool rated higher
Form Index DDDDL v WWWDL Liverpool 0.8 · Newcastle 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Liverpool v Newcastle

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1519 vs 1509).
  • Newcastle is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Liverpool
Form Index
Newcastle
Goal expectation
Liverpool
Home advantage
Liverpool

Green = favours Liverpool · Blue = favours Newcastle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LiverpoolDDDDL0.8 ppg
NewcastleWWWDL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Liverpool1519
Newcastle1509
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 34% · 25%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning39% · 25% · 35%

AI match preview

Liverpool host Newcastle in a Premier League clash where the model gives the home side a 50% chance of victory, slightly favoring them over a draw (24%) or an away win (25%). Despite Liverpool’s edge in expected goals (1.13 to 0.83), the most likely scoreline is a goalless draw, reflecting a potentially tight contest with only a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance both teams score. These projections highlight probabilities rather than certainties—please gamble responsibly and only if aged 18 or over.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.13 – 0.83

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Anfield Liverpool, England Capacity 61,276 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle
Aug 2025 Newcastle 2–3 Liverpool