Leeds vs Nott'm Forest Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Fri 6 Feb, 20:00
Leeds
31 Full time
Nott'm Forest
Leeds 3–1 Nott'm Forest

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 26%
Away 30%

💡 Leeds have a slight edge — leaning Leeds, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1468 v 1462 Leeds rated higher
Form Index DLWDL v LWDWD Leeds 1.0 · Nott'm Forest 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leeds v Nott'm Forest

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1468 vs 1462).
  • Nott'm Forest is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Nott'm Forest
Goal expectation
Leeds
Home advantage
Leeds

Green = favours Leeds · Blue = favours Nott'm Forest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeedsDLWDL1.0 ppg
Nott'm ForestLWDWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Leeds1468
Nott'm Forest1462
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 29% · 27%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning42% · 22% · 36%

AI match preview

Leeds face Nottingham Forest in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors a home win with a 44% probability, though a draw or away victory remain viable outcomes. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with Leeds at 1.46 and Forest at 1.10, making a 1-1 scoreline the most likely result. With a 53% chance both teams will score and a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Elland Road Leeds, England Capacity 37,792 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Leeds 3–1 Nott'm Forest
Nov 2025 Nott'm Forest 3–1 Leeds