Newcastle vs Brentford Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 7 Feb, 17:30
Newcastle
23 Full time
Brentford
Newcastle 2–3 Brentford

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 25%
Away 27%

💡 Newcastle are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1494 v 1521 Brentford rated higher
Form Index WWDLL v WWLLW Newcastle 1.4 · Brentford 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Newcastle v Brentford

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1494 vs 1521).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brentford
Form Index
Brentford
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
Newcastle

Green = favours Newcastle · Blue = favours Brentford. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NewcastleWWDLL1.4 ppg
BrentfordWWLLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Newcastle1494
Brentford1521
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 25% · 24%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning45% · 24% · 31%

AI match preview

Newcastle hosts Brentford in a Premier League clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 48% chance of victory, while Brentford has a 27% probability to claim the win. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.87 for Newcastle and 1.25 for Brentford, with a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline despite Newcastle being the favored pick. Over 60% probability for more than 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score suggest an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.25

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St James' Park Newcastle, England Capacity 52,305 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Newcastle 2–3 Brentford
Nov 2025 Brentford 3–1 Newcastle