Brighton vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 8 Feb, 14:00
Brighton
01 Full time
Crystal Palace
Brighton 0–1 Crystal Palace

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 27%
Away 27%

💡 Brighton are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1461 Brighton rated higher
Form Index WDDLD v LDLLD Brighton 1.2 · Crystal Palace 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brighton v Crystal Palace

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1501 vs 1461).
  • Brighton is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brighton
Form Index
Brighton
Goal expectation
Brighton
Home advantage
Brighton

Green = favours Brighton · Blue = favours Crystal Palace. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrightonWDDLD1.2 ppg
Crystal PalaceLDLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Brighton1501
Crystal Palace1461
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 31% · 28%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning52% · 25% · 23%

AI match preview

Brighton holds a slight edge with a 46% chance of victory against Crystal Palace, who are pegged at 27%, while a draw is also projected at 27%. The model forecasts a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.31 for Brighton and 1.06 for Crystal Palace, making 1-1 the most probable scoreline despite a moderate lean towards a home win. With a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate a competitive encounter—remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Amex Stadium Brighton, England Capacity 31,800 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Brighton 0–1 Crystal Palace
Nov 2025 Crystal Palace 0–0 Brighton