Liverpool vs Man City Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 8 Feb, 16:30
Liverpool
12 Full time
Man City
Liverpool 1–2 Man City

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 25%
Away 34%

💡 Liverpool have a slight edge — leaning Liverpool, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1534 v 1598 Man City rated higher
Form Index DDDLW v DDLWD Liverpool 1.2 · Man City 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Liverpool v Man City

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Why we predict this

  • Man City is the stronger side on Power Rating (1598 vs 1534).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Man City
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Liverpool

Green = favours Liverpool · Blue = favours Man City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LiverpoolDDDLW1.2 ppg
Man CityDDLWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Liverpool1534
Man City1598
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 29% · 35%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning38% · 21% · 41%

AI match preview

Liverpool and Manchester City are poised for a tightly contested Premier League clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Liverpool at 41% to win, compared to 34% for Man City, and a 25% chance of a draw. The expected goals are nearly level, suggesting a close game likely to produce goals from both sides, with a 57% probability of both teams scoring and a 51% chance the match will exceed 2.5 goals. While a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly and only if aged 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.34

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Anfield Liverpool, England Capacity 61,276 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Liverpool 1–2 Man City
Nov 2025 Man City 3–0 Liverpool