Everton vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Tue 10 Feb, 19:30
Everton
12 Full time
Bournemouth
Everton 1–2 Bournemouth

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 27%
Away 29%

💡 Everton have a slight edge — leaning Everton, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1511 v 1501 Everton rated higher
Form Index DWDDW v WDWWD Everton 1.8 · Bournemouth 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1511 vs 1501).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Everton
Form Index
Bournemouth
Goal expectation
Everton
Home advantage
Everton

Green = favours Everton · Blue = favours Bournemouth. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EvertonDWDDW1.8 ppg
BournemouthWDWWD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Everton1511
Bournemouth1501
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 24% · 34%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning46% · 38% · 16%

AI match preview

Everton host Bournemouth in a Premier League clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 43% chance of victory, while a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model projects a closely contested match with expected goals at 1.95 for Everton and 1.75 for Bournemouth, most likely finishing 1-1. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score each above 70% probability, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.75

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 72%

No 28%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Hill Dickinson Stadium Liverpool, England Capacity 52,888 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Everton 1–2 Bournemouth
Dec 2025 Bournemouth 0–1 Everton