Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Wed 11 Feb, 19:30
Aston Villa
10 Full time
Brighton
Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 25%
Away 24%

💡 Aston Villa are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1572 v 1487 Aston Villa rated higher
Form Index DLWLD v DDLDL Aston Villa 1.0 · Brighton 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Aston Villa v Brighton

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Why we predict this

  • Aston Villa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1572 vs 1487).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Aston Villa
Form Index
Aston Villa
Goal expectation
Aston Villa
Home advantage
Aston Villa

Green = favours Aston Villa · Blue = favours Brighton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Aston VillaDLWLD1.0 ppg
BrightonDDLDL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Aston Villa1572
Brighton1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 29% · 20%
Power Rating61% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning55% · 32% · 13%

AI match preview

Aston Villa holds a slight edge in the Premier League clash against Brighton, with a 51% probability of a home win and an expected 1.54 goals compared to Brighton's 0.87. Despite this, the model suggests a closely contested match, with a 25% chance of a draw and the most likely scoreline being 1-1. Goal-scoring may be modest, as the chance of over 2.5 goals stands at 43% and both teams scoring at 47%; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 0.87

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Villa Park Birmingham, England Capacity 42,657 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton
Dec 2025 Brighton 3–4 Aston Villa